October
15th, Sunday
Tokyo Yayoi Kaikan

Workshop Registration 17:00
Icebreaker Reception 19:0021:00 Ball Room

October
16th, Monday
Tokyo Yayoi Kaikan

Opening Session and National Program Developments of
Core ACES Participants
Convenors: P.Mora (Australia), XC.Yin (China), M.Matsu’ura (Japan)
and A.Donnellan (USA)
Special Session : Collaborative software systems and models
Convenors: D. Place (Australia), H. Okuda (Japan), G.C. Fox (USA) and
D.A. Yuen (USA)
09:00 Workshop
Registration
Opening Session (09:0010:40)
09:3009:35 Welcome Address
Mitsuhiro Matsu'ura, Chairman, LOC.
09:3509:45 Guest Speech
Harumitsu Yoshimura, President, RIST
09:4509:55 Guest Speech
A representative of STA, Japan
09:5510:15 Introduction of ACES
Peter Mora (Executive Director, ACES)
Coffee Break (10:1510:40)
National Program Developments of Core ACES Participants (10:4012:00)
NI1 National Program Development in Australia
P. Mora
NI2 LURR (LoadUnload Response Ratio) and
CS (Critical Sensitivity)
XC. Yin, YL. Bai, MF. Xia, SK. Zhou and
YX. Zhang
NI3 Solid Earth Simulator Project in Japan
M. Matsu'ura
NI4 Science Results from the US General
Earthquake Models Program
A. Donnellan
Lunch Break (12:0013:00) 
Special Session I (13:0014:00)
SI1 Object Webbased Approach to Earthquake
Simulations
G.C. Fox
SI2 Parallel and Vector Performaces of GeoFEM
and Its Extentions to a Solid Earth
Simulator
H. Okuda, G. Yagawa and H. Nakamura
Coffee Break (14:0014:20)
Special Session II (14:2015:20)
SII1 A 3D Virtual Earth Simulator for Earthquake
Microphysics: LSMearth
D. Place and P. Mora
SII2 Application of Multidimensional Wavelet
to Geophysics: Geoid Anomalies,
Convection and Mixing
D.A. Yuen, A.P. Vincent, L. Vecsey and M.
Kido
Transportation to Haknone : Buses leave
16:00 !!

October
17th, Tuesday
Hakone Highland Hotel

Session 1 : Microphysics underlying earthquake nucleation and
frictional behavior of complex fault zones :
observations and simulation
Convenors: T. Tullis (USA), P. Mora (Austratla), YL. Bai (China) and
T. Yamashita (Japan)
Session 2 : Scaling physics and emergent behaviors at the micro
and
macroscale : theory, simulation and observation
Convenors: W. Klein (USA), MF. Xia (China), D. Sornette (France) and
M. Ohnaka (Japan)
Session 1I (08:0009:50) "Processes in gougefilled
shear zones"(Myojin)
Session Summary
T.E. Tullis
1I1 Simulations of shear in gouge zones
E. Aharonov and D.W. Sparks
1P1 Anatomy of a slip event in an idealized
fault gouge (Poster Overview)
D.W. Sparks and E. Aharonov
1P2 Distinct Element Simulations of Granular
Shear Zones: Micromechanical controls on Shear Zone Strength and Stability
(Poster Overview)
J. Morgan
1I2 Simulation of the Influence of Rate
and State Dependent Friction on the Macroscopic Behavior of Complex Fault
Zones with the Lattice Solid Model
S. Abe, J.H. Dieterich, P. Mora and D. Place
1I3 Three dimensional particle based modelling
of frictional behaviour in shear zones
H. Sakaguchi , A. Makinouchi and HB M.uhlhaus
1P3 An Optimistic interpretation of friction
law from thermalmechanical coupling in shear deformation of viscoelastic
material (Poster Overview)
M. Kameyama, T. Hori, P.R. Cummins, S. Hirano,
T. Baba, K. Uhira and
Y. Kaneda
Coffee Break (09:5010:20)
Session 1II (10:2011:35)
"Nucleation of unstable slip or catastrophic
failure"(Myojin)
1II1 Damage Localization, Sensitivity of
Energy Release and Catastrophe Transition
YL. Bai, HL. Li, FJ. Ke and MF. Xia 
1P4 Simulation of LoadUnload Response Ratio
using the Lattice Solid Model (Poster Overview)
YC. Wang, P. Mora, D. Place and XC. Yin
1II2 Microscopic simulation of stress correlation
evolution: implication for the Critical Point Hypothesis for earthquakes
P. Mora and D. Place
1P5 Experimental Study of Seismic ShortImminent
Precursory Mechanism by New Methods and Technique (Poster Overview)
ZY. Xu, RH. Yang, JM. Zhao, YY. Wang,
PL. Li, B. Wang, SR. Mei,
BH. Xiong, ZR. Wang, XX. Lu, LY. Zhong,
YG. Zhang and CL. She
1P6 Aftershock occurrence due to fluid migration
in a fault zone (Poster Overview)
T. Yamashita
Session 1III (11:3512:00) "General Discussions"(Myojin)
Lunch Break (12:0013:00)
Poster Session for Session 1 and 2 (13:0014:30) (Myojin)
1P1 Anatomy of a slip event in an idealized
fault gouge
D. Sparks and E. Aharonov
1P2 Distinct Element Simulations of Granular
Shear Zones: Micromechanical controls on Shear Zone Strength and Stability
J. Morgan
1P3 An Optimistic interpretation of friction
law from thermalmechanical coupling in shear deformation of viscoelastic
material
M. Kameyama, T. Hori, P.R. Cummins, S. Hirano,
T. Baba, K. Uhira and
Y. Kaneda
1P4 Simulation of LoadUnload Response Ratio
using the Lattice Solid Model
YC. Wang, P. Mora, D. Place and XC. Yin
1P5 Experimental Study of Seismic ShortImminent
Precursory Mechanism by New Methods and Technique
ZY. Xu, RH. Yang, JM. Zhao, YY. Wang,
PL. Li, B. Wang, SR. Mei,
BH. Xiong, ZR. Wang, XX. Lu, LY. Zhong,
YG. Zhang and CL. She
1P6 Aftershock occurrence due to fluid migration
in a fault zone
T. Yamashita
2P7 Observations of earthquake source and
ground motion scaling at the macro level
P.G. Somerville
2P8 Monte carlo uncertainty analysis for
the hazard from the cascadia subduction zone in the Pacific northwest of
the United States
M.D. Petersen, C.H. Cramer and A.D. Frankel
2P9 Correlation length evolution in cellular
automata with longrange stress transfer
D. Weatherley, M. Xia and P. Mora
2P10 Scaling and phase transitions in models
of earthquake faults
W. Klein
Session 2I (14:3015:50) (Myojin)
2I1 Seismic monitoring and modeling of earthquake
processes for prediction
K. Aki and A. Jin
2I2 A constitutive scaling law that unifies
the shear rupture from small scale in the
laboratory to large scale in the Earth as
an earthquake source
M. Ohnaka
2I3 Frictional sliding, shock waves and
granular rotations
L. Knopoff and YT. Chen
2I4 Nonlinear structures in layered, viscous
rock
H.B. Muhlhaus, B.E Hobbs, L. Moresi and H.
Sakaguchi
Coffee Break (15:5016:15)
Session 2II (16:1517:35) (Myojin)
2II1 General earthquake models: progress
& prospects
J.B. Rundle, A. Donnellan, G. Fox, W. Klein,
P.B. Rundle and K.F. Tiampo
2II2 Radiative friction, critical ruptures
and KalmanLevy filter
D. Sornette
2II3 Stress interactions and seismicity
of nonplanar faults
J.H. Dieterich
2II4 Critical sensitivity and fluctuations
in catastrophic rupture
M. Xia, Y. Wei, F. Ke and Y. Bai

October
18th, Wednesday
Hakone Highland Hotel

Session 3 : Physicallybased simulation of earthquake generation
and the earthquake cycle
Convenors: S. Day (USA), YX. Zhang (China) and K. Hirahara (Japan)
Session 3I (09:0010:15) (Myojin)
3I1 Mantle convection models with viscoelastic/brittle
lithosphere: Numerical methodology and plate tectonic modeling
L. Moresi, H. Muhlhaus and F. Dufour
3I2 LargeScale Viscoelastic Analysis
M. Iizuka, H. Suito, M. Hyodo and K. Hirahara
3I3 Physical modelling of earthquake generation
cycles at transcurrent plate boundaries
C. Hashimoto and M. Matsu'ura
3I4 Elastodynamic analysis of earthquake
sequences on slowly loaded faults with rate and state friction
N. Lapusta and J. R. Rice
Coffee Break (10:1510:45)
Session 3II (10:4512:20) (Myojin)
3II1 Use of fast multipoles for earthquake
modeling
T. E. Tullis, J. Salmon and N. Kato
3II2 Quasistatic FEM modeling of earthquake
cycle at a subduction zone based on a laboratory derived friction law in
a laterally heterogeneous viscoelastic medium under gravitation
K. Hirahara
3II3 Stress Change in a Subducting Plate,
due to Large Thrust Earthquakes, Plate Convergence and Viscoelastic Relaxation,
and Its Possible Effect on Intraplate NormalFaulting Earthquakes
T. Mi kumo
3II4 Simulation of Complex Recurrence Behavior
of Earthquakes with an Interacting Fault System Model
M. Hashimoto
3II5 San Francisco Bay Aria Earthquakes
Simulations: A step toward a Standard Physical Earthquake Model
S. N. Ward
Lunch Break (12:2013:20)
Poster Session for Session 3 (13:2014:20)
(Myojin)
3P1 Parallel Performance of the Tectonic
Loading Process Model at Transcurrent Plate Boundaries
K. Nakajima, C. Hashimoto
and M. Matsu'ura
3P2 Modeling 3D configuration of Plate
Boundaries in and around Japanese Islands
K. Fukui, T. Sato and
T. Iwasaki
3P3 3D Viscoelastic FEM Modeling of Kinematic
Earthquake Cycle in Northeast Japan
H. Suito, M. Iizuka
and K. Hirahara
3P4 3D Viscoelastic FEM Modeling of Kinematic
Earthquake Cycle in Southwest Japan
M. Hyodo, K. Hirahara
and M. Iizuka
3P5 Earthquake Cycles and Rupture Patterns:Insights
and Models from Paleoseismic Data
L.B. Grant
Session 3III (14:2015:50) (Myojin)
3III1 Plate Boundaries Characterization
of Fault Zones
Y. BenZion and C. Sammis
3III2 The role of transient deformation
in triggering earthquakes
F.F. Pollitz
3III3 Rupture sequence with single and double
events in a laboratory experiment
S. Yoshida and A. Kato
3III4 Effects of Subducted Seamounts on
the Source Process of the 1946 Nankai Earthquake, Southwest Japan
T. Hori, T. Baba, P.R.
Cummins and Y. Kaneda
3III5 Simulation of the effects of fault
creep on the stress field of its neighbor faults
YX. Zhang and XC.
Yin
Coffee Break (15:5016:20)
Session 3IV (16:2017:00) (Myojin)
3IV1 On the slip weakening behavior in rate
and statedependent constitutive laws
M. Cocco and A. Bizzarri
3IV2 Finite Element Modeling of Seismic
Faulting With A LaboratoryDerived Rate And State Dependent Friction Law
HL. Xing and A. Makinouchi
Session 3V (17:0017:30) "General Discussions"(Myojin)

October
19th, Thursday
Hakone Highland Hotel

Session 4 : Simulation of earthquake rupture,
wave propagation
and standard models for different tectonic
settings
Convenors: K. Olsen (USA), H. Igel (Germany) and T. Furumura (Japan)
Special Session : Collaborative software systems and models
Convenors: D. Place (Australia), H. Okuda (Japan), G.C. Fox (USA) and
D.A. Yuen (USA)
Session 4I (09:0010:40) "Simulation of earthquake"(Myojin)
4I1 Dynamic source effect of dipslip earthquake
on strong ground motion
L.A. Dalguer and K. Irikura
4I2 Dynamics of shallow reverse faulting
in 2D
R. Madariaga
4I3 Scrutiny of the 3D nonplaner fault
model of the 1992 Landers earthquake
H. Aochi and E. Fukuyama
4I4 Hybrid modeling of curved fault radiation
in a 3D heterogeneous medium
K.B. Olsen, E. Fukuyama, H. Aochi and R. Madariaga
Coffee Break (10:4011:10)
Session 4II (11:1012:50) "Simulation of wave propagation"(Myojin)
4II1 Wave propagation simulation on regional
scales: algorithms and applications
H. Igel, G. Jahnke, M. Kaser and Y. BenZion
4II2 Propagation of seismic waves away from
earthquakes
B.L.N. Kennett and T. Furumura
4II3 PSM/FDM hybrid simulation of the 1999
ChiChi, Taiwan earthquake
T. Furumura, KL. Wen and K. Koketsu
4II4 Broadband ground motion simulation
during the 1999 Kocaeli (Turkey) earthquake
N. Pulido and T. Kubo 
Lunch Break (12:5013:50)
Poster Session for Session 4 (13:5014:30) (Myojin)
4P1 Simulation of earthquake transition
from quasistatic growth to dynamic propagation
E. Fukuyama, C. Hashimoto, and M. Matsuura
4P2 Simulation of earthquake faulting process
and strong ground motion
T. Miyatake
4P3 Rupture propagation beyond fault discontinuities:
Significance
of fault strike and location
Y. Kase and K. Kuge
4P4 Macromicro analysis method for largescale
computation of wave propagation processes
M. Hori and T. Ichimura
4P5 Estimation of nonlinear timedependent
soil behaviour in strong ground motions using vertical array data
O. Pavlenko and K. Irikura
4P6 Joint inversion of refraction and gravity
data for the 3D basement structure beneath Osaka Basin
Afnimar and K. Koketsu
4P7 Recurrent method of solving direct and
inverse seismic problems
D. Malytskyy
4P8 Spatial dependence of acceleration spectra
in elastodynamic simulation of earthquakes: severely increased shaking
away from the epicenter
B. Shaw
4P9 Finite element simulation on frictional
and brittle preseismic fault slip
Z. Wu, Y. Gao and Y. Murakami
Special Discussion for Session 4 (14:3015:30) (Myojin)
"Standard models for different tectonic settings" 
Poster Session and Demonstration for Special Session (13:5015:20)
(Soun1)
SP21 Parallel Multilevel Iterative Linear
Solvers for LargeScale Computation
K. Nakajima
SP22 LSMearth and GeoFEM Coupling Analysis
M. Iizuka, D. Place and O. Hazama
SP23 Vector and Parallel Tuning of Solid
Earth Simulation Codes
K. Minami
SP24 LSMearthEFG coupling: an alternative
numerical approach for multiscale simulations
O. Hazama and D. Place
SP25 Thermal Convection Analysis in a Rotating
Shell by a Parallel FEM
H. Matsui
SD26 Largescale Parallel Wave Propagation
Analysis (Explicit dynamic analysis using
nonreflecting boundary
K. Garatani and H. Matsumoto
SD27 Parallel visualization of gigabyte
datasets in GeoFEM
I. Fujishiro, Y. Takeshima, L. Chen, H. Nakamura
and Y. Suzuki
SD28 Effective Adaptation Technique for
Hexahedral Mesh
Y. Wada
Special Technical Meeting for WG5 (15:3017:30) (Soun1)
"Collaborative Software Systems and Models"

October
20th, Friday
Hakone Highland Hotel

Session 5 : Assimilation of geodetic data and seismic activity
data into
simulation models
Convenors: A. Donnellan (USA), SK. Zhou (China) and T. Sagiya (Japan)
Session 6 : Earthquake hazard quantification in space and time :
simulation based predictions, preliminary forecasting models and
forecast tests and evaluations
Convenors: XC. Yin (China) and N. Hirata (Japan)
Session 5I (09:0010:15) (Myojin)
5I1 Strain Partitioning Across Metropolitan
Los Angeles
A. Donnellan, A. Blythe, L. Kellogg and and
M. Glasscoe
5I2 Viscoelastic Inversion of Crustal Deformation
Data
T. Sagiya, T. Sato, C. Hashimoto, K. Minami
and M. Matsu'ura
Coffee Break (10:1510:45)
Session 6I (10:4512:00) (Myojin)
6I1 On development of crustal deformation/stress
state monitoring system
M. Hori, T. Kato, K. Oguni and T. Iinuma
6I2 LURR, AMR and earthquake prediction
XC. Yin, P. Mora, KY. Peng, YC. Wang and
D. Weatherley
6I3 Pattern Dynamics and Forecast Methods
in Seismically Active Regions
K.F. Tiampo, J.B. Rundle, S. McGinnis and
W. Klein
6I4 Unsupervised Learning for Geophysical
Data Exploration
R. Granat and A. Donnellan
Lunch Break (12:0013:00)
Poster Session for Session 5 and 6 (13:0014:30) (Myojin)
5P1 Modeling SCIGN data
K.J. Hurst
5P2 Prospects for Predicting Energy Flow
Released by Local Earthquakes
T. Verbytskyj and Y. Verbytskyj
6P3 Strong ground motion simulation for
seismic hazard purposes in Mexico: two case examples
M. Chavez 
Workshop Summary and Closing Remarks (14:3015:30) (Myojin)
